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Social Protection Simulation Tool for Itcland

This tool provides simulations of the cost and impact of tax-financed cash transfer programmes in Itcland. It can be used to make initial estimates of cost projections for different social protection programme schemes and their impact on coverage, household purchasing power, poverty and inequality.

Users can develop different policy options by simulating the introduction of social security programmes. The tool includes two types of programmes: inclusive programmes organised around the lifecycle (children, older persons, and persons with disabilities); and, means-tested household programmes. Users can set parameters related to eligibility criteria, desired levels of programme coverage, and transfer values. Users may also modify parameters related to the expected real annual growth rate of the economy, and administrative programme costs.





Below in separate tabs are the estimated annual costs and simulated impacts of all programmes combined.



This tab shows the simulated programme coverage - both by consumption expenditure deciles and by five-year age groups.

Coverage of all programmes combined


Simulated coverage of direct and indirect recipients among national population, by consumption expenditure deciles
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Simulated coverage of direct and indirect recipients among national population, by five-year age groups
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This tab shows the simulated increase in household consumption expenditure of the national population and of programme recipients by expenditure deciles.

Simulated increase in household consumption expenditure


Simulated increase in household consumption expenditure among national population, by consumption expenditure deciles
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Simulated increase in household consumption expenditure among recipients, by consumption expenditure deciles
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This tab shows the simulated impacts of the programmes on national poverty - both overall and by five-year age groups -, and the simulated impact on inequality as measured by the Gini coefficient

Simulated impacts on poverty and inequality of all programmes combined



Simulated national poverty rate before and after the introduction of the programme, by five-year age groups
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Simulated overall reduction in national poverty rate
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Simulated overall reduction in poverty rate of programme recipients
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Simulated national poverty gap before and after the introduction of the programme, by five-year age groups
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Simulated overall reduction in national poverty gap
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Simulated overall reduction in poverty gap of programme recipients
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Simulated overall reduction in inequality
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Key
Current Existing poverty and inequality estimates
Post reforms Poverty and inequality estimates after reforms are implemented
Reduction The percentage reduction in poverty and inequality estimates are measured against existing estimates


This tab shows the estimated annual costs of the programmes, in billions of local currency and as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP), in 2019 and up to 2030. The tool uses data on economic growth and population projections sourced from IMF and UN DESA.

Projected annual cost (% of GDP), by programme, 2019 to 2030


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Below in separate tabs are the estimated annual costs and simulated impacts of the Child Benefit programme.



This tab shows the simulated programme coverage - both by consumption expenditure deciles and by five-year age groups.

Coverage of Child Benefit programme


Simulated coverage of direct and indirect recipients among national population, by consumption expenditure deciles
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Simulated coverage of direct and indirect recipients among national population, by five-year age groups
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This tab shows the simulated increase in household consumption expenditure of the national population and of programme recipients by expenditure deciles.

Simulated increase in household consumption expenditure


Simulated increase in household consumption expenditure among national population, by consumption expenditure deciles
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Simulated increase in household consumption expenditure among recipients, by consumption expenditure deciles
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This tab shows the simulated impacts of the programmes on national poverty - both overall and by five-year age groups -, and the simulated impact on inequality as measured by the Gini coefficient

Simulated impacts on poverty and inequality of all programmes combined



Simulated national poverty rate before and after the introduction of the programme, by five-year age groups
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Simulated overall reduction in national poverty rate
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Simulated overall reduction in poverty rate of programme recipients
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Simulated national poverty gap before and after the introduction of the programme, by five-year age groups
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Simulated overall reduction in national poverty gap
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Simulated overall reduction in poverty gap of programme recipients
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Simulated overall reduction in inequality
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Key
Current Existing poverty and inequality estimates
Post reforms Poverty and inequality estimates after reforms are implemented
Reduction The percentage reduction in poverty and inequality estimates are measured against existing estimates


This tab shows the estimated annual costs of the programmes, in billions of local currency and as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP), in 2019 and up to 2030. The tool uses data on economic growth and population projections sourced from IMF and UN DESA.

Projected annual cost (% of GDP), by programme, 2019 to 2030


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Below in separate tabs are the estimated annual costs and simulated impacts of the Disability Benefit programme.



This tab shows the simulated programme coverage - both by consumption expenditure deciles and by five-year age groups.

Coverage of Disability Benefit programme


Simulated coverage of direct and indirect recipients among national population, by consumption expenditure deciles
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Simulated coverage of direct and indirect recipients among national population, by five-year age groups
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This tab shows the simulated increase in household consumption expenditure of the national population and of programme recipients by consumption expenditure deciles.

Simulated increase in household consumption expenditure


Simulated increase in household consumption expenditure among national population, by consumption expenditure deciles
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Simulated increase in household consumption expenditure among recipients, by consumption expenditure deciles
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This tab shows the simulated impacts of the programmes on national poverty - both overall and by five-year age groups -, and the simulated impact on inequality as measured by the Gini coefficient

Simulated impacts on poverty and inequality of all programmes combined



Simulated national poverty rate before and after the introduction of the programme, by five-year age groups
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Simulated overall reduction in national poverty rate
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Simulated overall reduction in poverty rate of programme recipients
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Simulated national poverty gap before and after the introduction of the programme, by five-year age groups
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Simulated overall reduction in national poverty gap
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Simulated overall reduction in poverty gap of programme recipients
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Simulated overall reduction in inequality
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Key
Current Existing poverty and inequality estimates
Post reforms Poverty and inequality estimates after reforms are implemented
Reduction The percentage reduction in poverty and inequality estimates are measured against existing estimates


This tab shows the estimated annual costs of the programmes, in billions of local currency and as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP), in 2019 and up to 2030. The tool uses data on economic growth and population projections sourced from IMF and UN DESA.

Projected annual cost (% of GDP), by programme, 2019 to 2030


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Below in separate tabs are the estimated annual costs and simulated impacts of the Old Age Benefit programme.



This tab shows the simulated programme coverage - both by consumption expenditure deciles and by five-year age groups.

Coverage of Old Age Benefit programme


Simulated coverage of direct and indirect recipients among national population, by consumption expenditure deciles
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Simulated coverage of direct and indirect recipients among national population, by five-year age groups
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This tab shows the simulated increase in household consumption expenditure of the national population and of programme recipients by expenditure deciles.

Simulated increase in household consumption expenditure


Simulated increase in household consumption expenditure among national population, by consumption expenditure deciles
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Simulated increase in household consumption expenditure among recipients, by consumption expenditure deciles
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This tab shows the simulated impacts of the programmes on national poverty - both overall and by five-year age groups -, and the simulated impact on inequality as measured by the Gini coefficient

Simulated impacts on poverty and inequality of all programmes combined



Simulated national poverty rate before and after the introduction of the programme, by five-year age groups
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Simulated overall reduction in national poverty rate
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Simulated overall reduction in poverty rate of programme recipients
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Simulated national poverty gap before and after the introduction of the programme, by five-year age groups
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Simulated overall reduction in national poverty gap
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Simulated overall reduction in poverty gap of programme recipients
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Simulated overall reduction in inequality
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Key
Current Existing poverty and inequality estimates
Post reforms Poverty and inequality estimates after reforms are implemented
Reduction The percentage reduction in poverty and inequality estimates are measured against existing estimates


This tab shows the estimated annual costs of the programmes, in billions of local currency and as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP), in 2019 and up to 2030. The tool uses data on economic growth and population projections sourced from IMF and UN DESA.

Projected annual cost (% of GDP), by programme, 2019 to 2030


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Below in separate tabs are the estimated annual costs and simulated impacts of the Household Benefit programme



This tab shows the simulated programme coverage - both by consumption expenditure deciles and by five-year age groups.

Coverage of Household Benefit programme


Simulated coverage of direct and indirect recipients among national population, by consumption expenditure deciles
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Simulated coverage of direct and indirect recipients among national population, by five-year age groups
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This tab shows the simulated increase in household consumption expenditure of the national population and of programme recipients by consumption expenditure deciles.

Simulated increase in household consumption expenditure


Simulated increase in household consumption expenditure among national population, by consumption expenditure deciles
Loading...

Simulated increase in household consumption expenditure among recipients, by consumption expenditure deciles
Loading...


This tab shows the simulated impacts of the programmes on national poverty - both overall and by five-year age groups -, and the simulated impact on inequality as measured by the Gini coefficient

Simulated impacts on poverty and inequality of all programmes combined



Simulated national poverty rate before and after the introduction of the programme, by five-year age groups
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Simulated overall reduction in national poverty rate
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Simulated overall reduction in poverty rate of programme recipients
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Simulated national poverty gap before and after the introduction of the programme, by five-year age groups
Loading...

Simulated overall reduction in national poverty gap
Loading...

Simulated overall reduction in poverty gap of programme recipients
Loading...

Simulated overall reduction in inequality
Loading...

Key
Current Existing poverty and inequality estimates
Post reforms Poverty and inequality estimates after reforms are implemented
Reduction The percentage reduction in poverty and inequality estimates are measured against existing estimates


This tab shows the estimated annual costs of the programmes, in billions of local currency and as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP), in 2019 and up to 2030. The tool uses data on economic growth and population projections sourced from IMF and UN DESA.

Projected annual cost (% of GDP), by programme, 2019 to 2030


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